Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.554992 2.960603 3.419072 3.977513 4.641828 5.409834 6.369310
2025-02-16 1.954372 2.482097 3.144346 4.044612 5.249082 6.822669 9.063301
2025-02-23 1.646932 2.221312 2.993880 4.125333 5.767697 8.108169 11.774959
2025-03-02 1.403707 1.983548 2.806860 4.086062 6.069147 9.104275 14.256378
2025-03-09 1.250393 1.839304 2.715737 4.150165 6.508290 10.358496 17.396136
2025-03-16 1.106864 1.684396 2.578943 4.110011 6.758995 11.338219 20.283418
2025-03-23 0.994986 1.560870 2.469483 4.089207 7.026409 12.380993 23.518801
2025-03-30 0.891525 1.436375 2.339414 4.008565 7.165993 13.206986 26.521898
2025-04-06 0.828441 1.370326 2.297133 4.073363 7.579652 14.627024 31.119247
2025-04-13 0.749971 1.268309 2.178713 3.978151 7.662795 15.392479 34.460822
2025-04-20 0.715435 1.239396 2.186766 4.123904 8.255110 17.347563 41.162424
2025-04-27 0.667814 1.181225 2.133180 4.138296 8.570522 18.751316 46.898020
2025-05-04 0.627857 1.140445 2.122039 4.270385 9.246490 21.339061 57.279945
2025-05-11 0.581989 1.084659 2.077941 4.335200 9.811598 23.894382 68.960445
2025-05-18 0.544250 1.039386 2.047502 4.422910 10.451503 26.841693 83.319349
2025-05-25 0.499840 0.974816 1.967203 4.380392 10.752147 28.954028 96.011006
2025-06-01 0.469599 0.935801 1.936173 4.449771 11.367986 32.195971 114.662332
2025-06-08 0.434418 0.881988 1.864877 4.406311 11.662096 34.553412 131.307418
2025-06-15 0.404524 0.836225 1.805778 4.383797 12.014061 37.233485 151.090652
2025-06-22 0.373704 0.784974 1.727302 4.296537 12.152462 39.244082 169.252003
2025-06-29 0.355239 0.759724 1.707637 4.366651 12.805416 43.369623 200.924601
2025-07-06 0.328945 0.713531 1.631030 4.263632 12.871620 45.311260 222.664295
2025-07-13 0.318468 0.703527 1.643563 4.421347 13.866015 51.378149 273.335754